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• Monday, April 06, 2009 7:58 AM

  Scenarios for the Outcome of the Economic Crisis Part 4: New Blood or Blood in the Streets?

  Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; Read More... Posted by Rob | 3 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, Social Trends, scenarios

• Friday, April 03, 2009 8:11 AM

  Scenarios for the Outcome of the Economic Crisis Part 3: Institutional Stagnation or Managed Growth?

  Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; Read More... Posted by Rob | 2 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, Social Trends, scenarios

• Thursday, April 02, 2009 12:48 PM

  Scenarios for the Outcome of the Economic Crisis: Part 2

  Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; Read More... Posted by Rob | 1 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, Social Trends, scenarios

• Wednesday, April 01, 2009 10:59 AM

  Four Scenarios for the Outcome of the Economic Downturn: Introduction

  As part of my work with Dan Rasmus at Microsoft, we're revisiting the scenario planning framework we developed in 2003 (as explained in our book, Listening to the Future ) in light of current events. The following few posts will outline my own "unofficial" Read More... Posted by Rob | 3 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, Social Trends, scenarios

• Tuesday, January 29, 2008 12:25 PM

  Tunnel Vision

  Over the weekend, the New York Times Magazine ran an excerpt from Parag Khanna's new book under the headline " Waving Goodbye to Hegemony ." It spins a future scenario in which US economic, cultural and diplomatic power cannot recover from the damage Read More... Posted by Rob | 0 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, Social Trends

• Tuesday, January 15, 2008 9:23 AM

  The End of Imperfect Capitalism

  Economists despise information asymmetries in markets, because theoretically, "perfect" information leads to optimized pricing. That is, the price of everything reflects the highest amount people are willing to pay, so the allocation of resources best Read More... Posted by Rob | 0 Comments Filed under: futurism, economics, IT